Why Supplements Alone Won’t Fix Our Health

I started thinking differently about nutrition when I was pregnant. For the first time, nutrients felt tangible and consequential. Iron was tied to oxygen delivery and fatigue. Folate suddenly mattered for neural development. Choline, vitamin D, DHA, calcium, iodine, all of it became part of a daily mental checklist. It was the first time I fully understood how precise nutrition can be.

That experience also changed the way my husband and I thought about supplements. Like many adults, we started asking familiar questions: Is our diet supporting energy, longevity, immune health, and brain function? Are supplements a reasonable safety net? And if so, where do they actually fit alongside a healthy diet?

The Lure of Supplements

Those questions now exist inside a much larger wellness culture. Supplements are no longer reserved for obvious deficiencies or specific medical needs. They have become part of a broader optimization movement shaped by wellness influencers, podcasters, physicians on social media, and longevity-focused personalities. Figures like Andrew Huberman, Rhonda Patrick, and Joe Rogan regularly discuss highly detailed supplement routines involving magnesium, creatine, omega-3s, vitamin D, probiotics, NAD precursors, and dozens of other compounds designed to improve performance, cognition, recovery, and long-term health.

What often gets lost in the broader wellness conversation, however, is that even many of these experts frame supplements as additions to an already strong nutritional foundation, not replacements for one. Huberman has repeatedly emphasized that supplements cannot compensate for poor nutrition or lifestyle habits, while Patrick frequently stresses that diet should remain the primary source of nutrients, even when targeted supplementation is appropriate.

The nuance can disappear online. Consumers are exposed to highly optimized supplement “stacks” without always hearing the surrounding context: bloodwork, physician guidance, sleep, exercise, dietary quality, medications, genetics, or whether a true deficiency exists in the first place. The result is that supplementation can start to feel like a shortcut to health optimization rather than what the evidence more consistently supports, which is a complementary strategy layered onto an already nutrient-dense diet.

The appeal is understandable. Supplements feel measurable and controllable. A capsule offers precision. Food can feel inconsistent and messy.

And in a culture where people are juggling work, stress, parenting, aging, fitness goals, and even medications that alter appetite, supplements can seem like the easiest way to “cover the bases.”

But that perception starts to break down when you think about nutrition the way we think about children’s nutrition. With two young kids, I am constantly reminded that their nutritional foundation comes almost entirely from food, from what they actually eat and what their bodies can absorb. Supplements may sometimes play a role, but they are not the foundation. And that raises an uncomfortable question for adults: if food is still the nutritional foundation for growing bodies, why do we so often assume supplements can carry that role for us?

The Persistent Nutrient Gap

Despite decades of dietary guidance, Americans continue to fall short on several key nutrients. Federal nutrition data consistently identify dietary fiber, potassium, calcium, and vitamin D as nutrients of public health concern because they are under-consumed and associated with adverse health outcomes. Iron remains a critical nutrient for women of childbearing age and during pregnancy, when requirements increase significantly. Vitamin D status has also received greater attention in recent COVID years because of its role in immune function, bone health, inflammation, and overall metabolic health.

The scope of the gap is broader than most people realize. Analyses of national intake data show that many Americans consume insufficient levels of magnesium, choline, and vitamins A, C, D, and E. These are not marginal deficiencies. They reflect a pattern of dietary intake that does not consistently meet physiological needs.

Fiber is one of the clearest examples. The recommended intake is approximately 25 to 38 grams per day, yet average intake in the United States hovers around 15 grams. Potassium intake tells a similar story. Recommended levels are in the range of 2,600 to 3,400 milligrams per day depending on age and sex, but most Americans fall well below that threshold. Calcium intake remains inadequate in large segments of the population, particularly among adolescents and older adults. Vitamin D inadequacy persists because dietary sources are limited and sun exposure varies widely.

What is striking is not just the existence of these gaps, but their persistence. We have more nutrition information, more supplements, more wellness content, and more products than ever before, but the core gaps remain stubbornly tied to dietary patterns. Americans are not falling short because they forgot to buy the right bottle. They are falling short because too many daily eating patterns do not consistently include enough beans, lentils, vegetables, fruit, dairy or fortified alternatives, seafood, nuts, seeds, and whole grains.

The GLP-1 Question

This is also where the rise of GLP-1 medications adds a new layer to the conversation. These drugs can be transformative for weight management and metabolic health, but they also reduce appetite and, for some people, the total amount of food consumed. That can be a benefit, but it also raises a nutritional question: when people are eating less, are they eating better?

A smaller appetite does not automatically create a more nutrient-dense diet. If someone is eating significantly less food but still choosing the same low-fiber, low-protein, low-potassium, highly processed pattern, nutrient gaps can become more important, not less. Protein, fiber, calcium, vitamin D, iron, magnesium, and overall micronutrient density deserve particular attention when total intake falls. Supplements may help fill targeted gaps, but they cannot make up for the loss of a balanced dietary pattern, especially if reduced intake leads to inadequate protein, fewer plant foods, and less variety.

This is one reason the supplement conversation needs to be practical rather than ideological.

The goal is not to dismiss supplements. The goal is to ask whether they are being used to support a strong food foundation or to compensate for the absence of one.

The Supplement Paradox

At the same time that nutrient gaps remain, supplement use has become nearly ubiquitous. Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention show that more than half of U.S. adults report using a dietary supplement in a given month. Industry estimates place that number even higher. The U.S. supplement market has grown into a multi-billion-dollar industry, with tens of thousands of products marketed for energy, immunity, longevity, cognitive function, sleep, stress, beauty, gut health, and general wellness.

Supplements are widely used as a form of nutritional insurance. Multivitamins, vitamin D, vitamin C, magnesium, collagen, creatine, probiotics, and omega-3 fatty acids are among the products many consumers recognize immediately. Yet the nutrients most commonly supplemented do not always align with the nutrients most commonly lacking.

Fiber, one of the most significant gaps, is rarely addressed through supplementation in a meaningful way. Potassium, another major shortfall, is difficult to supplement at physiologically relevant doses because over-the-counter products are typically limited for safety reasons. Calcium and vitamin D are more commonly supplemented, but intake gaps remain. This disconnect highlights a central issue. We are not necessarily supplementing the nutrients we need most. We are often supplementing what is available, familiar, marketed well, or endorsed by people we trust.

That does not mean those trusted voices are wrong. Many credible experts use supplements for specific reasons: bloodwork, training goals, pregnancy, restricted diets, aging, deficiency risk, or personal experimentation. But what gets lost in translation is context. A supplement routine that makes sense for a neuroscientist, endurance athlete, menopausal woman, pregnant patient, or someone with documented low vitamin D may not make sense for a generally healthy adult who has never checked their levels and is simply copying a protocol from the internet.

Food, Bioavailability, and Context

The discussion around supplements often centers on bioavailability, but this concept is frequently oversimplified. It is true that some nutrients are highly bioavailable in supplement form. Folic acid, for example, is more bioavailable than naturally occurring food folate, which is one reason folic acid supplementation has been so effective in reducing neural tube defects.

However, bioavailability is not the only variable that determines nutritional impact. Whole foods deliver nutrients within a complex matrix that includes fiber, fats, proteins, water, minerals, phytochemicals, and other bioactive compounds. These components interact in ways that influence digestion, absorption, metabolism, satiety, and the gut microbiome. Dietary fat enhances absorption of fat-soluble vitamins such as A, D, E, and K. Vitamin C enhances absorption of non-heme iron. Fiber affects glycemic response and supports microbial fermentation in the gut, producing short-chain fatty acids that play roles in metabolic health.

Supplements isolate nutrients from this context. They deliver specific compounds, often in higher concentrations, but without the accompanying structure and interactions found in whole foods. This distinction matters. Fortified and enriched foods, such as fortified cereals, dairy alternatives, and enriched grains, also play an important role in helping close nutrient gaps because they deliver added nutrients through familiar foods that are already part of many people’s daily eating patterns.

Potassium illustrates this clearly. While potassium supplements exist, they are typically limited to small doses, often around 99 milligrams per serving, due to safety considerations. In contrast, a single serving of a potassium-rich food such as a baked potato, a cup of beans, yogurt, squash, spinach, or avocado can provide several hundred milligrams. Closing the potassium gap is fundamentally a dietary issue, not a supplementation issue.

Fiber presents a similar challenge. Fiber supplements can contribute to total intake, and they may be useful for some people, but they do not fully replicate the structural complexity of whole plant foods or their effects on satiety, chewing, meal quality, and the gut microbiome. The benefits of fiber extend beyond the isolated compound.

Iron further demonstrates the importance of context. Heme iron from animal sources is more readily absorbed than non-heme iron from plant sources. The absorption of non-heme iron is influenced by enhancers such as vitamin C and inhibitors such as phytates. These interactions occur within meals, not within isolated supplements.

The point is not that supplements are ineffective. It is that their effectiveness is often conditional. I learned this the hard way during my first pregnancy. I was diligent about taking my prenatal every single day and assumed that meant I was fully covered, but at a routine check, my iron levels still came back low. It wasn’t until I started paying attention to how I was actually eating, adding more iron-rich foods and pairing them with vitamin C, that things improved. That was when it clicked for me: the supplement was helping, but it was not replacing the diet around it.

Health Outcomes and Evidence

The question that ultimately matters is whether supplements improve health outcomes. The evidence is nuanced.

Large observational studies and meta-analyses have generally found limited evidence that routine supplement use reduces the risk of chronic disease or mortality in otherwise well-nourished populations. Research from institutions such as Tufts University has found that adequate nutrient intake from food is associated with lower risks of mortality, whereas similar intake from supplements does not show the same association.

Another dimension that is often overlooked is the regulatory environment. Dietary supplements are not regulated in the same way as pharmaceutical drugs. In the United States, manufacturers are responsible for ensuring the safety and labeling of their products, but pre-market approval is not required. This framework allows for significant variability in product quality, composition, and purity.

Studies have identified discrepancies between labeled and actual ingredient content in some supplements, as well as contamination with substances such as heavy metals or undeclared compounds. There is also the potential for interactions with medications and for adverse effects at high doses. Excess intake of certain nutrients, such as calcium or fat-soluble vitamins, can have unintended consequences.

These risks do not negate the value of supplements, but they underscore the importance of using them judiciously and with appropriate guidance. I felt this firsthand postpartum, when I was taking a mix of supplements recommended casually by friends and things I had seen online, assuming more would be better as I tried to recover and keep up with two young kids. It wasn’t until I brought everything I was taking to my doctor that I realized there were overlaps, unnecessary doses, and combinations that did not actually make sense for me. It was a simple moment, but it reinforced that even with something as seemingly benign as supplements, intention and guidance matter as much as the product itself.

A Shift in Perspective

As a parent, the most meaningful shift for me has been recognizing that my children’s nutrition has to come almost entirely from what they eat. At this age, supplements are not really part of the equation, so their intake is built meal by meal, snack by snack, often imperfectly and unpredictably. Some days they eat everything I hope they will. Other days they do not. That reality makes the importance of a consistent, nutrient-dense diet feel much more immediate.

It has also changed how I think about adult nutrition. Supplements can be useful. In some cases, they are necessary. They play a critical role in pregnancy, certain deficiencies, restricted diets, aging, bone health, anemia, and medically defined needs. I experienced this in an everyday way when routine bloodwork showed I was low in vitamin D despite generally eating well and spending time outdoors. Adding a targeted supplement based on that data moved the needle and helped bring my levels back into range. It was a clear reminder that when used with intention and for a defined need, supplements can be incredibly effective.

But nutrition is not something we can outsource entirely to a product. It accumulates over time through patterns of eating.

Supplements can support those patterns, but they cannot replace them.

Organizations like the American Heart Association continue to emphasize that nutritional needs should primarily be met through foods. That is not a rejection of supplements. It is a recognition of their role.

The more complicated truth is that supplements work best when they are boring: targeted, evidence-informed, and connected to an actual need. They become less useful when they are treated as a substitute for dietary quality, a shortcut to longevity, or a protocol copied from someone else’s body, lab work, lifestyle, and risk profile.

America’s most persistent nutrient gaps, particularly in fiber, potassium, calcium, vitamin D, and overall dietary quality, are not problems that can be solved in a bottle. They are problems rooted in how we eat. And for me, that realization started with pregnancy, evolved through early motherhood, and continues every time I think about what my children are actually getting from the food in front of them.

Labor Concerns Drive New Tech

Labor issues continue to worry the farming community, with more than half of farmers (56 percent) in a recent FTI Consulting survey saying they have experienced labor shortages.

Not only are people apparently less eager to take on the often physically demanding tasks and long hours that go into farming, but the men and women who do that important work are growing older. And to top it all off, serious questions about the future of undocumented aliens are a major concern for an economic sector that depends upon immigrant labor for 42 percent of farm and food-related jobs.

The food and agriculture sector has responded by raising farm wages and carrying out ambitious programs to educate and attract the next generation of farmers and food workers. Add new technology to those efforts, and we have a pretty powerful response to the farm labor challenge.

Catching up with Industrial Practices

Farmers, ranchers, and all the others along our complex food chain are among the most innovative and adaptive sectors of our entire economy. The food chain sees what’s happening in the technology world, and it is responding.

Think about automation. Once it seemed the sole province of the industrial sector. What arguably began in warehouses, shipping facilities, and work lines doing repetitive tasks proved valuable to our food system, too.

Smart technology only added to the power of simple robotics. Robots and automated equipment could not just perform those tasks but learn as well – and adapt to not just maintain but also enhance efficiency and productivity.

Robots come in all sizes and types, tailored for specific purposes. Industrial robots have been around for quite some time, but service robots, medical robots, and other specialized types are growing in number and use.

Increasingly, the word “robot” triggers a mental picture going far beyond the automotive assembly line.

Picture robots tasked with the dangerous job of fighting fires. Think of the various tools already in use to help with such tasks as home cleaning and laundry sorting, or the medical robots used in routine and delicate surgeries.

According to the International Federation of Robotics (IFR), an estimated 4.8 million robots are at work in industrial uses. One robot is at work in industry for every 71 human workers.

Asia – notably China – has been the fastest to embrace robotics, accounting for about 70 percent of all new robotic installations last year.

Robots have proven valuable in automotive production, electronics, metal, and machinery operations, and more. Service robots are increasingly common in medical facilities worldwide, with the medical sector alone accounting for about one-quarter (27 percent) of the global robotics market in 2025. On the food front, IFR estimates that just under 15,000 robots were installed in food-related activities in 2023 alone.

Use of robotics across all segments of the global economy has shown significant growth, especially as the cost of humanoid robots has declined. Humanoid robots can cost as little as $16,000 for basic units to more than a quarter-million dollars for very advanced models.

Most commercial humanoid robots sell in a range from $20,000 to $120,000. China’s Unitree Robotics captured wide attention this year when the company announced the cost of its humanoid robots had dropped to $25,000 in 2025, down 70 percent from the 2023 average price.

Photos courtesy of Unitree

Global robotics has grown to become a $48 billion market in 2024 – and is still growing. By 2034, the market is projected to be over $211 billion.

Robotics in Action on the Farm

Agriculture stands to contribute significantly to this growth, from the farm field across the entire food chain.

Robots already can play a valuable role in such activities as crop planting, weeding, input application, harvesting, crop sorting, greenhouse management, irrigation management and more. They not only perform mechanical tasks but also can gather and transmit data that helps farmers make better decisions.

With AI, they also can learn and act independently to adapt and adjust for greater efficiency and effectiveness. Robots no longer are dumb mechanical devices but rather smart, efficient actors in producing the food we all consume.

Smart technology helps relieve farmers of many of the multiple tasks that go into farming and allows them to concentrate on other demanding aspects of running a profitable operation.

Off the farm, robots can be just as valuable. They can take on many of the strenuous labors involved in shipping and warehousing, for example, or be used to speed packaging.

Labor-intensive activities such as meat and poultry processing may be able to use faster line speed by using technology, while reducing risks of harm to human workers.

Cost – Or Investment?

As with all aspects of farming and the entire food chain, the key to growth in use of modern technology is in its financial returns – for both those who produce the technology and those who use it.

If technology doesn’t deliver a demonstrable and acceptable contribution to the bottom line, it’s not likely to grow very quickly – if at all. That process of economic evaluation is still playing out. But the early signs are encouraging.

For example, India-based Niqo Robotics produces automated spray equipment capable of reducing chemical spraying by up to 60 percent. The company also has been producing intelligent weeding robots for farms, focused on specialty crop producers. Its automated spraying equipment already is in operation, too.

Using AI, their products use sensors and visual tools to identify individual weeds and direct their removal – all with an accuracy measured in millimeters. That level of automated precision not only helps farmers be more efficient, it also provides an enormous opportunity to avoid actions harmful to the environment.

As Niqo Robotics Founder and CEO Jaisimha Rao explained in a media interview, “In the U.S. specialty crops segment, growers face intense pressure from rising labor costs, shrinking workforces, and narrow operational windows. Robotics directly addresses all three. By automating repetitive and time-sensitive tasks such as weeding or spraying, farmers can focus human labor on skilled, high-value activities.”

Perhaps just as encouraging, Nico Robotics has announced that it is “on track for profitability” in its first full commercial year.

“Every innovation must create real value for farmers, not just demonstrate what is technologically possible.” 

 – Jaisimha Rao, Niqo Robotics CEO & Founder

The Price Tag

The costs of integrating more technology into farming and other segments of the food chain can be high. Even as the price of robotics moderates, machinery that harnesses all the potential of better technology and AI can come with a sobering price tag.

Consider the numbers associated with some of the best of the best in this equipment world.

John Deere has reinvented itself into a technology company with all the software installed in their farm, forestry, and lawn care tractors.

John Deere’s 9RX tractor – which the company touts as “the smartest John Deere tractor you can buy” can be yours new for about $1 million – or maybe a touch more. The 9RX is indeed a marvel – no manual steering, data sharing and streaming-ready, satellite-connected, capable of syncing with other machines… and fully engineered to use up to 140 different software packages that help make farming faster, better and more responsible than ever before.

With this kind of technology-rich equipment, farmers can direct farm operations wherever they happen to be – at their desk, in their car or truck, walking the fields, or maybe even at that special family event.

Equipment marketplaces make it possible to buy one of the three 9RX models at lower prices, based on the age and model type.  Recently, sites such as tractorhouse.com offered used units for as little as $519,000, with the price of displayed units averaging about $583,000.  Higher-end 2025 models appeared available in the range of $939,900 to $947,400.  Prices through other sales channels, of course, will vary.  But these numbers make one thing clear: embracing technology at the high end can come with a real hefty price tag.

“John Deere has shifted the narrative from machinery to autonomy-as-a-service. While its rollout may appear incremental, the strategic signal is loud and clear: in the automation race for agriculture, passive adoption is no longer an option.

Those unprepared to integrate machine-led intelligence into core operations risk being outpaced—quietly but definitively.”

– The Silicon Review; April 8, 2025

At this time, farmers must find the balance – a sober assessment of the payback created by new technology.  Does it deliver value?  Does it improve my bottom line – and if so, when?  How long will it take for my investment to pay off?   Can an equipment-sharing arrangement work for me?  What about leasing options?

If history is any guide, farmers (and others along the food chain) will find innovative ways to make technology work for them. Most will realize they have no real option but to embrace technology as best they can. Farmers always look beyond the day to the future, and they know that the future is tech-driven.

What about the Food Consumer?

Improvements in operating efficiency in both farming and processing in the long run will help stabilize and potentially lower food costs for consumers, according to most technology proponents.

As technology improves and it use expands, the potential for benefit to consumers increases. But a precise calculation of the effect on prices remains elusive, as the process of integrating more and better technology across the entire food chain progresses.

As Sustainability Directory recently concluded, “Technology is now the primary tool for farmers to cut costs and stabilize food prices against climate and supply chain volatility.”

Transformation through Technology

Automation, robotics, drones, artificial intelligence – all are coming together to transform the modern farming system. Technology is already on the farm, and in our entire food chain, too.

People along that chain are working every day to think of new ways to make technology work even harder to do more. We’re finding more ways to assure the efficient, profitable production of the foods we depend upon every day.

We’re building in improved ways of protecting and making optimal, sustainable use of our soil and water.  We’re making food processing faster, more efficient, and safer than ever before.

We’re creating even more career opportunities within our food and agricultural system for engineers and experts in technology development, operation, and maintenance.

There’s a lot of work yet to do. As Richard Stup of Cornell University said, “Farm automation and technology will be a significant part of the farm future in the United States. But it is not a quick and easy solution to the labor challenges the industry will face in the near future.”

Farm Shortages Continue as Job Numbers Drop

What’s one of the most important farm inputs? Not just seeds and fertilizer, or herbicides and pesticides.

It’s good old labor – the availability of help to do the seemingly endless list of chores that come with farming.

In recent years, farmers have spoken at length of their growing worry over a lack of willing and available workers to make sure all those pesky tasks are done…and done well.

That worry is still there, and justifiably, as the numbers clearly show. But as is ever the case, the farming community is responding to the challenge. How? By making modern technology work even harder to help alleviate the labor headache.

What was initially thought to be the province of industrial factories, warehousing, and shipping has quietly moved outdoors – to the farm field and other points along the food chain from dirt to dinner.

Technology – whether referred to as automation, drones, robotics, and artificial intelligence (AI) – is stepping in to take on more of the routine and not-so-routine aspects of farming and food production.

Technology can do more and more of the rote tasks associated with planting, tending to crops, harvesting, sorting, and many, many other farm jobs.

But it also is a new approach to farming that makes farm fields more than dirt.

It transforms them into living databases – full of potential insights leading to better decision-making. Greater efficiency and productivity. Enhanced income opportunity. Better protection of resources for a sustainable farming future.

The Farm Labor Conundrum

The farm labor problem has many facets. It involves not just a shortage of available workers to do the countless physical tasks of growing and delivering our food. It also reflects worries about shifting demographics and political considerations.

Fewer people seem to want to work as farm laborers. Those who do are aging, with many electing to exit that work force. To add to the complications, our food system is highly dependent upon immigrants – legal and illegal – to do much of this important work. Additionally, growing use of technology has helped serve some of the demand for many jobs, or eliminated them altogether.

There were an estimated 2.4 million open agricultural jobs in the United States in 2024, with 56% of farmers reporting labor shortages, according to FTI Consulting’s June 2025 report.

And the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports a decline in overall agricultural employment of 155,000 jobs in 2025.

It’s an important concern. Overall, farm labor represents about 14 percent of farming costs. It’s lower in less labor-intensive operations, such as row crop farming. But for specialty crops that require individualized engagement in tending, harvesting, and sorting, labor costs can be much higher – up to 30 percent or more.

Many fruit and vegetable farmers are going out of business, or turning to less labor intensive crops due to the worker shortage. Those fruits and veggies we all enjoy come with a substantial labor component in their prices.

In the current market environment facing farmers, saving pennies wherever possible is a major consideration. The cost of crop inputs, energy and labor are key factors in profitability – and survival. As costs for fertilizer and other inputs rise, energy costs soar and overall inflation eats away at household financial security, farmers simply can’t afford to ignore the labor challenge. The face of farming is changing. It simply has to in order to survive.

To understand what’s driving this evolution in farming, let’s start with some of the facts about the importance of labor on the farm.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics places the number of agricultural workers at 812,600 in 2024. About 90 percent of those jobs are on the farm or ranch, or in nurseries, greenhouses, or aquacultural operations.

By 2034, the BLS projects that the overall number will decline to 790,200. The farm and ranch worker group will suffer the biggest decline, losing about 28,000 jobs. Agricultural equipment operators, in contrast, are expected to see an 8 percent increase in jobs in that timeframe.

Aging Workforce on Farms

Compounding labor matters is the fact that our farm workforce is growing older.

The Department of Agriculture places the average age of a U.S. farmer at 58 years, making it the oldest workforce in our national economy. Two of every five acres of U.S. farms are owned by people 65 or older. About 40 percent of all farmers are 65 or older.

Much of the farm labor force also shows signs of aging – especially the immigrant workers on which our system depends. The average age of an immigrant worker in U.S. agriculture is roughly 42 years, and has been rising steadily as fewer younger immigrants enter the agricultural labor force.

The aging phenomenon extends into other parts of the food chain, too.

According to FTI Consulting, “The food processing industry has seen a significant increase in the percentage of workers aged 60 to 69. One-third of the food manufacturing workforce is over 55, as younger generations are less inclined to pursue careers in food manufacturing, which they perceive as labor-intensive, low-paying, and/or lacking opportunities for advancement.”

In simple terms, our ag system is aging as fewer people seem willing to take on the intensive labor jobs we traditionally associate with farming and food processing.

As AgAmerica recently commented, “There are four times the number of producers who are 65 years or older than those younger than 35. As more operators reach retirement age, there are fewer young farmers coming in to fill their shoes.

‘It only makes sense that the decline in farm labor would follow a similar trend.” 

The Brutal Effects of a Demanding Job

To add to the various significant challenges, farmers also suffer from higher rates of suicide than other professions and were also disproportionately affected by the opioid crisis.

In a 2025 study by Rosalie Eisenreich and Carolyn Pollari, the National Rural Health Association notes that rural populations have a significantly higher suicide rate than urban areas, with the suicide rate among farmers over three times higher than the general population.

In particular, male farmers, ranchers and other agricultural managers have a significantly higher rate of suicide deaths at 43 per 100,000, versus the average of 27 across all other occupations.

As for the opioid epidemic, much of it can be attributed to injuries incurred from such demanding labor. Every day in this nation, approximately 100 agricultural workers suffer an injury leading to lost work time. In recent years, the highest number of injuries was among aging farmers age 50-59 years.

In the 2000s, the tides turned with the assistance of an effective and readily available painkiller. Suddenly those injuries felt less severe, allowing workers to once again resume a steady paycheck. But at the devastating cost of addition and death for many.

The Pennsylvania Office of Rural Health cited the following from Lancaster Farming in 2022:

The scope of the crisis in rural America was staggering, with 74% of farmers and farmworkers reporting they had been directly impacted by opioids, three in four farmers saying it was easy to access large amounts of opioids without a prescription, and one in three adults saying addiction treatment was readily available.”

Michigan State University reports a more specific detail, citing from the Centers for Disease Control that 26% of farmers and farm workers have abused, been addicted or have taken an opioid without a prescription.

The Immigrant Issue

As the government’s statistics indicate, alien and immigrant workers play a major role in farming.

Fruit and vegetable production is notably labor-intensive, and often seasonal. But other sectors – such as dairy and poultry – also demand lots of plain old hard labor. Further down the food chain, processing operations (notably meat and poultry) depend heavily upon immigrant labor.

Government efforts to identify and deal with illegal immigrants have added to the pressures facing farmers and others across the food chain.

Estimates of the proportion of illegal immigrants in the agricultural workforce vary, often by significant amounts, possibly reflecting different political perspectives. But whatever the numbers cited, the number of illegal immigrants working in our food system is sizable.

As noted by farmonaut.com, the percentage of undocumented immigrants in agriculture is, by every credible estimate, extraordinarily high compared to any other major U.S. industry.

As of 2025:

  • Undocumented immigrants constitute approximately 50% to 70% of the national agricultural workforce.
  • Out of an estimated 2.4 million farmworkers nationwide, about 1.2 to 1.7 million are undocumented.
  • Key crops and sectors—including fruits, vegetables, nuts, and perishables—are especially reliant on undocumented labor.

Other organizations report similar reliance on immigrant – often undocumented – workers. As reported by the American Immigration Council in 2021:

As recently as 2019, almost half of all agricultural workers were foreign-born and more than one-fourth (27.3 percent) were undocumented.

Among workers in crop production, the share of foreign-born workers is even higher. In 2019, almost 57 percent of crop production workers were immigrants, including 36.4 percent who were undocumented.

More recent data from AgAmerica place the share of immigrants in the farm labor force at 42 percent, down from 55 percent in 2001.

H-2A to the Rescue?

One major tool for combating the farm labor shortage has been the H-2A visa program. Called the Temporary Agricultural Program, H-2A allows foreign-born workers to enter the United States for up to 10 months.

H-2A has been extremely valuable to crop producers for help with their seasonal – often labor-intensive – tasks. Most livestock producers, such as ranches, hog and poultry operations, and dairies, cannot use the program, however.

In fiscal 2025, the government issued almost 400,000 H-2A visas, up from roughly 48,000 in 2005. Almost half of those visas went to five states.

The American Farm Bureau reports that “only 182 positions out of over 415,000 advertised (jobs) received a domestic applicant in fiscal year 2025.”

In other words, H-2A visas go for jobs that domestic workers simply don‘t want.

The Response – Economic and Otherwise

Traditional approaches to attracting and training farm workers continue unabated.

Wages paid to farm laborers have increased steadily in recent years in an attempt to attract workers, adding to costs and further dampening farmers’ bottom lines.

Schools, extension programs, and private commercial interests collectively seek to raise awareness of the nobility of being at the front lines of feeding a hungry world.

They help people see the wide career opportunities available across the food chain. They provide the training and encouragement that brings new and young people into the business and lifestyle of farming.

The Future Farmers of America (FFA), as one of the most recognized agents in this effort, remains a powerful engine for assuring farming’s future. This kind of effort helps explain why the 2022 Census of Agriculture showed the largest jump in farmer numbers came from people under the age of 25.

But one additional response to the labor challenge looms over all the others. Its name is technology.

Next week, we will continue to examine the role of labor in our food system – and the remarkable ways technology is reshaping the face of farming and food production.

Why Is Beef So Expensive?

My eye doctor made an offhand comment the other day that stuck with me. His sons were coming home to visit with their families, and he was reluctant to spring for steaks. Even hamburgers were daunting.

If a doctor is watching the meat aisle, you can be sure that many Americans are, too. When even high-income households hesitate at the meat counter, it’s not just sticker shock, it’s a structural shift in the food system.

So what’s really going on? The short answer is supply and demand — but the long answer is far more interesting, and it starts on the open range and ends with Chinese policies.

The cattle herd today is at a 65-year low, and the demand for beef is stronger than ever.

Unchanged Cattle Inventory

It was surprising to me to find out that the U.S. cattle population ready for beef production, stands at roughly 27 million head – the same as in 1961. While curious, that alone doesn’t sound alarming, but a lot has changed since then.

In 1960, the U.S. population was 179 million people, each eating about 63 pounds of beef per year. Today, 343 million Americans eat about 59 pounds annually.

The per-person consumption is a little lower, but the total demand has nearly doubled, from 1.1 billion pounds of beef to over 2 billion pounds. We are feeding 92% more people from essentially the same-sized herd.

Even if you look at the total cattle herd of 86.2 million,  which includes calves and heifers held for breeding, it is down 300,000 from 2025.

Think about it: we have the same number of cattle on the range and in feedlots as in 1961, but our population has increased by 92%.

That is the crux of the problem — we have the same number of cows but almost twice the number of people to feed.

The GLP-1 prescription narrative has been misunderstood. In fact, weight-loss medications like Ozempic and Wegovy, have nudged protein consumption up, not down. Despite popular speculation that appetite suppressants would dampen the beef market, Americans are eating roughly 6.3 more pounds of red meat and poultry per capita than in 2020, before GLP-1s were used for obesity treatment. Those on GLP-1s realize the importance of maintaining muscle mass.

Protein quality is becoming a bigger part of the consumer conversation.

Instead of ‘how much?’, people are asking ‘what kind?’ Animal proteins are high-quality because they contain all nine essential amino acids. According to Mintel, 36% of U.S. consumers would like to see complete proteins in food and drink products.

The world has the same growth pattern of more meat per capita. In 1960, people ate about 50 pounds per person; by 2025, the amount grew a whopping 45% to 92 pounds. Think how much more meat is needed to feed a global population that has gone from 3 billion to 8.1 billion. And of course, the cattle and cow population has grown from 857 million to 1,580 billion. That is a lot of meat needed to feed the world!

Today’s beef prices aren’t a short-term spike; they are the predictable result of long-term supply constraints colliding with a stronger demand for protein.

So Why Aren’t Ranchers Just Breeding More Cattle?

That’s the logical question — and ranchers are hearing it plenty. The honest answer is that raising cattle has a long growth cycle and the economics are brutally uncertain.

Beef as a Commodity

Corn farmers can respond to market signals within a single growing season. A hog farmer can take a piglet to market weight in about six months. A chicken? Forty-seven days from hatch to your plate.

However, cattle are a completely different story.

A cow-calf rancher who decides today to expand their herd is looking at nine months of pregnancy, followed by another two to three years of grazing and growing before those calves are anywhere near market weight and ready for processing.

Consumers don’t see this natural advantage over beef, but they do see the price discrepancy of higher beef costs resulting from the longer beef cycle.

Factoring in Uncertainty

Consider what a rancher faces today: high land costs, rising interest rates, urban sprawl eating into ranch acreage, and an aging farm labor force that’s increasingly hard to replace.

Add to that the basic math of the cattle business — sell a calf now and have income today, or hold off for a year and a half and hope the market cooperates when you finally bring them to market.

Weather makes it even harder. The droughts of recent years, especially in Texas and the Southern Plains, burned up grazing pasture which forced many ranchers to cull their herds. Many are reluctant to rebuild until they’re sure another drought isn’t lurking around the corner. That caution is rational, but it adds up to a market with no quick fixes.

Plant closures haven’t helped either. Tyson Foods closed its Nebraska beef processing facility last November. It also converted its Texas facility to a single shift. When a major processor reduces capacity, the whole supply chain tightens.

Finally, imported cattle from Mexico, which account for 3.4% of the total U.S. calf crop, have come to a halt due to the screwworm disease. It doesn’t sound like a big percentage, but that is 1.1 million cattle not coming to the U.S. for processing. Since July 2025, the USDA has banned live cattle to prevent the screwworm from infecting US cattle. Just another squeeze on an already tight supply.

U.S. Government Support

With all these obstacles in the way of our ranchers, how can the U.S. government provide the support necessary for increased production?

Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins is committed to ensuring the American people have an affordable source of protein and that America’s ranchers have a strong economic environment.”

The Department of the Interior is restoring grazing access on public lands. The USDA will expedite deregulatory reforms and fix outdated grazing restrictions. They will also try to increase processing capacity and promote locally grown beef into schools.

In short, ranchers aren’t holding back, they’re responding rationally to risk.

China’s Effect on U.S. Beef

Beef is no longer just a domestic story; it’s a global chessboard.

With 31% of its beef supply imported, China has its own protein challenges. Brazil provides half of its beef imports, with Argentina and Uruguay supplying most of the balance.

Because of their high imports, there was too much supply of beef in China, which then depressed beef prices for the Chinese rancher. To combat the surplus, effective January 1, 2026, Beijing established a 55% tariff on all imported beef. Why? To protect their own beef market – and to some extent, their pork farmers.

These new beef import restrictions have created excess Australian and Brazilian beef in the global market. As this ‘homeless’ beef floods the U.S. market, it creates a large supply of lean beef for hamburgers and fast-food burgers.

However, the U.S. consumer has yet to see this manifest in a drop in beef prices. What looks like a distant policy decision in Beijing can ripple directly into the price of a hamburger in the U.S.

According to Mintel, high beef prices are prompting ‘trade-down’ behaviors as consumers choose less expensive animal proteins, cheaper beef cuts and rely more on ground beef. They are also relying on sales and discounting at their grocery store to manage their beef costs.